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UK national election set for July 4th amid conservative party’s struggle for support

UK national election set for July
Britain's Prime Minister Rishi Sunak leaves 10 Downing Street to go to the House of Commons for his weekly Prime Minister's Questions in London, Wednesday, May 22, 2024.

British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has announced July 4 as the date for a national election, emphasizing a day of positive economic developments to encourage voters to grant his governing Conservatives another term.

“Now is the moment for Britain to choose its future,” Sunak declared.

Despite its 14-year tenure, Sunak’s center-right party has faced diminishing support, grappling with a succession of challenges including economic downturns, ethical controversies, and leadership turnovers over the past two years.

The center-left Labour Party is widely expected to emerge victorious over Sunak’s party. Speculation regarding an impending election intensified when Sunak scheduled a Cabinet meeting for Wednesday afternoon, deviating from the usual Tuesday routine.

Additionally, Foreign Secretary David Cameron cut short a trip to Albania to participate in the meeting, further fueling anticipation of the election.

The upcoming election will take place amidst a backdrop of a cost-of-living crisis and significant divisions regarding the approach to managing migrants and asylum seekers crossing the perilous English Channel from Europe.

The announcement coincided with official data revealing a notable decrease in UK inflation to 2.3%, marking its lowest level in almost three years, attributed to substantial declines in domestic bills.

The April decrease represents significant progress on five pledges Sunak made in January 2023, including halving inflation, which had surpassed 11% by the end of 2022. Sunak praised the new figure as evidence that his plan was effective.

“Today marks a major moment for the economy, with inflation back to normal,” Sunak stated on Wednesday. “Brighter days are ahead, but only if we adhere to the plan to enhance economic security and opportunity for everyone.”

In the upcoming election, voters throughout the United Kingdom will elect all 650 members of the House of Commons for a term of up to five years.

The party that secures a majority in the Commons, either independently or through coalition, will form the next government, with its leader becoming prime minister.

In the UK, elections must occur no more than five years apart, with the prime minister having the discretion to choose the timing within that timeframe. Sunak, aged 44, had until December to announce an election, with the last one held in December 2019.

Numerous political analysts had predicted that an autumn election would increase the Conservatives’ prospects of retaining power, although many fear Sunak’s exploits will be overshadowed by the scandals surrounding the party.

This anticipation stems from the potential for further economic improvement, the impact of recent tax reductions on voters, possible reductions in interest rates, and the potential implementation of Sunak’s contentious plan to deport certain asylum-seekers to Rwanda, a significant policy objective for him.

Sunak had been indecisive about the election date, consistently suggesting – even as late as lunchtime on Wednesday – that it would likely occur in the latter half of the year.

Despite the decrease in inflation, Sunak’s other pledges – including growing the economy, reducing debt, alleviating waiting lists in the state-run National Health Service, and curbing the influx of migrants crossing the English Channel – have encountered greater challenges.

His tenure has been tumultuous, particularly after succeeding Liz Truss, whose brief 49-day tenure was marred by economic policies that rattled financial markets.

Truss had been selected by party members following the ousting of Boris Johnson amid a series of ethics scandals.

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